Hi, I’m Chief Meteorologist Jason Smith with a look at your forecast on this Monday. Today marks the official start to the 2020 tropical season and we are watching the Gulf with a new system to track. A system is forming in the Bay of Campeche and is now a tropical depression. If it becomes a tropical storm, the name would be Cristobal. Because of the weak steering flow, there is a lot of uncertainty in the forecast. Current models suggest either a westward track into Mexico, or a more northerly track towards Texas and Louisiana. Two named storms are already in the books with Arthur and Bertha having formed in the Atlantic.
In the meantime, we are tracking an increase in moisture with scattered t-showers returning for the middle of the week. Rain chances are at 40% Tuesday and 50% Wednesday. Surf conditions will increase at area beaches with rip currents likely by the end of the week.